Research Notes

Deep dives into the framework, human psychology, and the future of aligned intelligence.

Two Stones in a Pond, and Why Question Order Is Data

Drop two stones in still water and the rings don't politely add up. They interfere. That is closer to how a mind holds two beliefs.

September 6, 20264 min read

The Assumption Map — 10 Claims the Belief Genome Must Prove

An interactive map of the 10 foundational assumptions behind the Belief Genome Project — what we claim, why it matters, the risk if wrong, and how to test each one.

Mar 31, 20267 min read

Kahneman's Dual-Process Theory as a Belief Collapse Mechanism

Fast & intuitive vs. slow & deliberate — two distinct collapse pathways. A case study exploring how System 1 and System 2 thinking map to the Belief Genome framework.

Mar 30, 20268 min read

The 11 Categories of the Belief Genome — And Why Each One Matters

The Belief Genome maps 124 dimensions across 11 fundamental categories. Here's what each one covers, why it earned its place, and how together they form the most complete map of human belief ever attempted.

Mar 29, 20265 min read

Wicked Problems and the Belief Variable: A New Framework for Global Challenges

Climate change, political polarization, AI alignment — every wicked problem humanity faces has the same root architecture: unexamined beliefs operating at scale.

Mar 1, 20255 min read

Why the Forecaster Changes Everything About Personal Decision-Making

Most self-knowledge tools tell you who you were. The Forecaster tells you who you're about to become — and what you're likely to decide before you even face the choice.

Feb 1, 20254 min read

The Architecture of Belief: Why Self-Knowledge Is the Missing Variable

Every system in the world — from democracy to artificial intelligence — is built on assumptions about what people believe. But we have never actually measured belief. Until now.

Jan 15, 20254 min read